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Spencer Greenberg's interview podcast on psychology, rationality, and self-improvement, often testing popular ideas (personality systems, self-help advice, decision-making heuristics) against data and expert interviews.
A wiki explainer distinguishing the inside view (forecasting from detailed knowledge of a specific process) from the outside view (forecasting from a reference class of similar past cases) — traces the concept to Kahneman and Tversky's "Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts" and Thinking, Fast and Slow, and notes Eliezer Yudkowsky's "reference class tennis" critique of the outside view's limits.