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#decision-making

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episode pub. Aug 24, 2026

NPR's Life Kit lays out a six-step framework for resisting retailer pressure and impulse buys: distinguish needs from wants, check in on the emotion driving the purchase, weigh whether the item fits your lifestyle and upkeep, research quality and durability, set a spending ceiling, and be willing to just walk away.

article pub. Nov 16, 2021

A wiki explainer distinguishing the inside view (forecasting from detailed knowledge of a specific process) from the outside view (forecasting from a reference class of similar past cases) — traces the concept to Kahneman and Tversky's "Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts" and Thinking, Fast and Slow, and notes Eliezer Yudkowsky's "reference class tennis" critique of the outside view's limits.